Comparing summed probability distributions of shoreline and radiocarbon dates from the Mesolithic Skagerrak coast of Norwayuse asterix (*) to get italics

Isak Roalkvam, Steinar Solheim Please use the format "First name initials family name" as in "Marie S. Curie, Niels H. D. Bohr, Albert Einstein, John R. R. Tolkien, Donna T. Strickland"

2024

<p>By developing a new methodology for handling and assessing a large number of shoreline dated sites, this paper compares the summed probability distribution of radiocarbon dates and shoreline dates along the Skagerrak coast of south-eastern Norway. Both measures have previously been compared to elucidate demographic developments in Fennoscandia, but these have not been based on probabilistic methods for shoreline dating. The findings indicate a largely diverging development of the two data sets through the Mesolithic. The number of shoreline dated sites undergoes some process of overall decrease through the period, while the radiocarbon data is characterised by a lacking signal in the earliest parts of the period and then undergoes a logistic growth that quickly plateaus and remains stable for the remainder of the period. The precise nature of this discrepancy will necessitate further substantiation and the method of shoreline dating itself still requires further testing and assessment. Having noted this, we still tentatively suggest that while the number of shoreline dated sites is not devoid of influence from a demographic signal, this measure could be more heavily influenced by mobility patterns. Conversely, we also suggest that the lacking radiocarbon data from the earliest part of the Mesolithic is in part the result of mobility patterns, but that the radiocarbon data more directly reflects population dynamics.</p>

https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10449324You should fill this box only if you chose 'All or part of the results presented in this preprint are based on data'. URL must start with http:// or https://

https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10449324You should fill this box only if you chose 'Scripts were used to obtain or analyze the results'. URL must start with http:// or https://

Mesolithic, Shoreline dates, Radiocarbon dates, Fennoscandia

NonePlease indicate the methods that may require specialised expertise during the peer review process (use a comma to separate various required expertises).

Computational archaeology, Dating, Europe, Mesolithic, Paleoenvironment

Martin Hinz suggested: Sorry, it is an interesting manuscript, and I am tempted, but I currently have too many reviews on my desk and would not be able to deliver in time. You might contact someone from the PAGES p3k group? , Martin Hinz suggested: https://pastglobalchanges.org/science/wg/people-3000/people, Per Persson suggested: Knut Anderas Bergsvik Knut.Bergsvik@uib.no, Per Persson suggested: Peter Moe Astrup pma@moesgaardmuseum.dk, Per Persson suggested: Svein V. Nielsen svein.v.nielsen@gmail.com, Per Persson suggested: Pedro Pesonen petro.pesonen@gmail.com, Per Persson suggested: Mikael Mannien mikaelmanninen@gmail.com No need for them to be recommenders of PCIArchaeology. Please do not suggest reviewers for whom there might be a conflict of interest. Reviewers are not allowed to review preprints written by close colleagues (with whom they have published in the last four years, with whom they have received joint funding in the last four years, or with whom they are currently writing a manuscript, or submitting a grant proposal), or by family members, friends, or anyone for whom bias might affect the nature of the review - see the code of conduct

2023-09-26 16:43:29

Felix Riede